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Money Market Snapshot

(2026-07-16)

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Conks
Jul 16, 2026
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πŸ₯· MONEY MARKET SNAPSHOT (2026-07-16)

BILLS
β€” RATES:
   β€’ 1-month: 3.695%
   β€’ 3-month: 3.792%
   β€’ 6-month: 3.904%
   β€’ 12-month: 3.986%
β€” AUCTIONS:
   β€’ Today, Treasury auctioned $116.4bln of 1m bills, and $105.9bln of 2m bills
   β€’ Treasury will offer $92bln in 3m bills on Monday, $79bln in 6m bills on Monday, and $95bln in 6w bills on Tuesday
β€” SETTLEMENTS:
   β€’ $24.993bln in net new cash raised (bills issued) by Treasury yesterday 

COUPONS
β€” AUCTIONS:
   β€’ Treasury held no coupon auctions today
   β€’ Treasury will offer $13bln in 20y coupons on Wednesday, and $21bln in 10y coupons on Thursday
β€” SETTLEMENTS:
   β€’ No coupon settlements imminent 

TGA (TREASURY GENERAL ACCOUNT)
β€” LATEST CASH BALANCE: $796bln
  β€’ an $8bln increase from the previous update ($788bln)
  β€’ $154bln below the Treasury’s target cash balance
β€” TARGET CASH BALANCE: $950bln

RESERVE BALANCES
β€” OUTSTANDING: Banks’ reserve balances rose $43.8bln to $3.14trln from $3.10trln since Wednesday
β€” NEW YORK: FRBNY held a 57.05% share of bank cash as of Wednesday
β€” SAN FRAN: FRBSF held a 10.94% share of bank cash as of Wednesday

FED OMOs (OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS)
β€” o/n SRPs, MORNING OPERATION: The Desk lent $0.0bln in the morning operation
β€” o/n SRPs, AFTERNOON OPERATION: The Desk lent $0.0bln in the afternoon operation
β€” o/n RRPs: The Desk accepted $0.125bln in the afternoon operation
β€” SEC LENDING: The Desk lent $36.62bln of SOMA securities to primary dealers

FED SECURED BENCHMARKS
β€” SOFR (o/n TSY REPO RATE AVG): 3.64% (prev: 3.63%)
  β€’ TRADING RANGE: 3.58%-3.73%
  β€’ 75TH PERCENTILE: 3.70%
  β€’ 25TH PERCENTILE: 3.62%
  β€’ SOFR-IORB SPREAD: -1bps (banks unlikely to be repo lenders) 
β€” TGCR (o/n TRIPARTY RATE AVG): 3.62% (prev: 3.62%)
β€” BGCR (TGCR + INTERDEALER RATE AVG): 3.62% (prev: 3.62%)

FED UNSECURED BENCHMARKS
β€” EFFR (o/n FF RATE AVG): 3.63% (prev: 3.63%)
  β€’ TRADING RANGE: 3.60%-3.65%
  β€’ 75TH PERCENTILE: 3.63%
  β€’ 25TH PERCENTILE: 3.62%
  β€’ IORB-EFFR SPREAD: 2bps (i.e. foreign banks arbing, on avg, 2bps)
β€” OBFR (EURODOLLARS): 3.63% (prev: 3.63%)
  β€’ TRADING RANGE: 3.55%-3.68%
  β€’ 75TH PERCENTILE: 3.63%
  β€’ 25TH PERCENTILE: 3.62%
  β€’ IORB-OBFR SPREAD: 2bps (i.e. foreign banks arbing, on avg, 2bps)

FED ADMINISTERED RATES
β€” SRPs: 3.75%
β€” IORB: 3.65%
β€” RRPs: 3.50%
β€” FRPs (FOREIGN REPO POOL): 3.50%

SECURED MARKETS
β€” REPO
  β€” RATES
    β€’ GC
      β€’ o/n: 3.66%
      β€’ TERM
        β€’ 1-week: 3.72%
        β€’ 2-week: 3.72%
        β€’ 1-month: 3.78%
    β€’ OFR (OFFICE OF FINANCIAL RESEARCH)
      β€’ o/n DVP (DELIVERY VS. PAYMENT): 3.66%
      β€’ o/n GCF (INTERDEALER): 3.7%
      β€’ o/n TPR (TRIPARTY): 3.68%
  β€” VOLUMES
    β€” FEDERAL RESERVE
      β€’ SOFR: $3.104trln (prev: $3.092trln)
      β€’ TGCR: $1.276trln (prev: $1.273trln)
      β€’ BGCR: $1.306trln (prev: $1.316trln)
      β€’ FRP (FOREIGN REPO POOL): $347.07bln (prev: $346.05bln)
    β€” OFR (OFFICE OF FINANCIAL RESEARCH)
      β€’ o/n DVP (DELIVERY VS. PAYMENT): $2.824trln (prev: $2.786trln)
      β€’ o/n GCF (INTERDEALER): $0.236trln (prev: $0.233trln)
      β€’ o/n TPR (TRIPARTY): $2.404trln (prev: $2.356trln)
    β€” SPONSORED (AS REPORTED BY DTCC)
      β€’ VOLUMES: $2.408trln
      β€’ a decrease of $6bln from the previous release of $2.414trln 
      β€’ Sponsored GC saw $0.781trln while Sponsored DVP saw $1.627trln
  β€” FAILS (AS REPORTED BY DTCC)
    β€’ TSY: $23.95bln
    β€’ AGENCY: $0.01bln 
β€” FX IMPLIED (€/$)
  β€” RATES
    β€’ 3-month: 3.91%

UNSECURED MARKETS
β€” FED FUNDS
  β€’ VOLUMES
    β€’ EFFR (o/n FF): $109bln (prev: $111bln)
β€” EURODOLLARS    
  β€’ VOLUMES
    β€’ OBFR: $250bln (prev: $245bln)
β€” COMMERCIAL PAPER
  β€’ RATES (AA FIN) 
    β€’ o/n: 3.62%
    β€’ 1-week: 3.63%
    β€’ 1-month: 3.68%
    β€’ 3-month: 3.8%
  β€’ ISSUES (AA FIN)
    β€’ o/n: 131 issues at ~o/n tenors
    β€’ 1-month: no issues at ~1m tenors
    β€’ 3-month: 1 issues at ~3m tenors
  β€’ OUTSTANDING 
    β€’ FINANCIAL CP: $614.23bln
    β€’ NON-FINANCIAL CP: $336.08bln
    β€’ ASSET-BACKED CP: $467.96bln
    β€’ BESPOKE: $13.91bln

BASIS MARKETS
β€” SOFR-FF (SERFF)
  β€’ LATEST (Jul’26): 0.75bps 
  β€’ NEXT (Aug’26): -2bps
  β€’ YEAR-END (Dec’26): -4bps
β€” XCCY
  β€’ €/$ (3-month): 0.750bps
β€” EQUITY FUTURES (S&P500) A.K.A β€œEQUITY REPO”
  β€’ LATEST: +20bps over o/n FF (prev: +18bps)
  β€’ QUARTER-END: +65bps over o/n FF (prev: +61bps)
  β€’ YEAR-END: +73bps over o/n FF (prev: +71.5bps)

SOURCES: U.S. TREASURY, FRBNY, OFR, OTC, DTCC, CME, CIA (CONKS INTELLIGENCE AGENCY)
DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. By viewing this content, you agree to the terms (https://www.conks.plumbing/tos) under CHAT FEED TERMS 

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